Tlatelolco and Regional Non-Proliferation initiatives
Dr. John R. Redick*
INTRODUCTION.
This paper considers the implications of the Tlatelolco Treaty and the Latin American nuclear-weapon-free zone
for other regional situations, specifically the South Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The paper also addresses
the role of the Agency for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean (OPANAL), and
suggests possible avenues for its continued evolution.
(1) Tlatelolco: The Motivation and the Meaning.
In September 1962, prior to the Cuban Missile Crisis, the Brazilian representative to the U.N. General Assembly,
Ambassador Alfonso Arines de Melo Franco (who also chaired the Brazilian delegation to the Committee on Disarmament),
proposed that a U.N. General Assembly resolution for the denuclearization of Africa be expanded to include Latin
America. The interest of African nations in a nuclear-weapon-free zone on the African continent had been stimulated
earlier by French nuclear testing in the Sahara, and subsequently by growing evidence of South African nuclear
weapons development. Following the October 1962 Missile Crisis, Ambassador de Melo Franco returned to Rio and encouraged
the Brazilian foreign ministry (Itamaraty) to take the lead in an effort to achieve a latin American nuclear-weapon-free
zone. This initiative fit well with Brazil's "independent" foreign policy and interest in nurturing ties
with African nations which had contributed much to that nation's cultural heritage.
The Mexican ambassador to Brazil at this time was a distinguished diplomat, Alfonso García Robles. Having
observed the discussions within Itamaraty, García Robles convinced his foreign minister, Manuel Tello, of
the importance of a Latin American nuclear-weapon-free zone. Consequently, Mexican President Lopez Mateos extended
an invitation (March, 1963) to the presidents of Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, and Bolivia to join Mexico in an effort
to create a Latin American nuclear-weapon-free zone agreement.
What followed is a matter of public record: Tlatelolco was carefully negotiated in Mexico City between 1964 and
1967, and the late Alfonso García Robles ultimately received the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts, an honor
he richly deserved. Two quotations, however, capture some of the spirit of the moment on February 14, 1967, when
the Tlatelolco Treaty was completed.
"We have worked for the benefit of not only our own countries and of Latin America but also, in this world of interdependence in which we live, for the good of mankind."
Alfonso García Robles
No treaty is consummated in a vacuum; its surroundings must have their effect upon its deliberations. Likewise, the individuality and character of the participants may play a role above and beyond that of the positions they take and the statements they read. The observer remembers the solid and courtly figure of UN Ambassador Leopoldo Benitez of Ecuador, pulling together the raveling threads of thought; and the pellucid and measured Spanish of Commission President García Robles who is rightfully called the father of the treaty; the truly Latin Atmosphere, the cordial abrazos and handshakings, the endless rounds of coffee, Coca-Cola and whisky passed by silent waiters, the meetings starting a full hour or two behind schedule and occasionally continuing into the early hours of the morning. ("Why are they late today?"--the working sessions have concluded." "They are busy with the denuclearization of Cuernavaca!"--this is on a particularly beautiful weekend.)
In the midst of this scene a plaque commemorating Cuahtemoc, the last of the Aztec kings, who fell defending Tlatelolco against the power of Cortes, is inscribed: "No fue triunfo ni derrota...." "It was neither a triumph nor a defeat" but the painful birth of the mixed people who are the Mexico of today.
And so with the treaty, negotiated and signed on the same spot four and a half centuries later; it was neither a triumph nor a defeat but a painful birth.
Linda Eder in The Nation
In truth Tlatelolco is a triumph (even if it experienced a difficult birth) and the precedent-setting nature of
the first nuclear-weapon-free zone in a populated area is self-evident. Other Tlatelolco lessons are also important,
including: the early cross-fertilization from Africa, the initial support of democratic (non-military) Latin American
governments, and the leadership of individuals fully committed to overcoming bureaucratic and diplomatic obstacles.
However, the most important Tlatelolco lesson having relevance to other regional situations is the motivation of
the parties. Tlatelolco was an affirmation of Latin American foreign policy independence, and an expression of
opposition to foreign intervention in the region. Tlatelolco was more than a nuclear non-proliferation initiative
or a regional NPT. (Tlatelolco preceded the NPT, and was more restrictive in its coverage, ie, no foreign controlled
nuclear weapons permitted in the territory of the parties.) The assertion of regional commonality against non-regional
interference was a central motivating factor of Tlatelolco, and continues to give the agreement particular importance
to the parties. It is also a feature of particular relevance to other regional situations.
(2) The South Pacific (Treaty of Raratonga).
The South Pacific nuclear-free-zone treaty was signed on August 6, 1985, and entered into force December 11, 1986.
In 1994 there were twelve parties to the South Pacific zone, with the most significant nations being Australia
and New Zealand. The Raratonga Treaty establishes the world's second nuclear-weapon-free zone in a populated area
and is closely modeled on the Tlatelolco Treaty. The principal motivation for the zone was the interest of the
regional nations in stopping French underground nuclear testing and preventing radioactive waste disposal in the
region.
Raratonga's central provisions are identical to Tlatelolco: acquisition, manufacture, testing or stationing of
nuclear weapons in the region is prohibited. Tlatelolco, however, covers a densely populated continent, ocean,
and several nations with nuclear weapons potential. In contrast, Raratonga encompasses an immense oceanic area,
a sub-continent, and many lightly populated islands. No Raratonga parties possess significant nuclear facilities.
The Raratonga Treaty established no administrative secretariat analogous to Tlatelolco's OPANAL. Instead, such
responsibilities are left to an intergovernmental coordinating mechanism, the South Pacific Forum. Also in contrast
to Tlatelolco, Raratonga's connection to the NPT is explicit in that its parties must conclude IAEA safeguard agreements
"equivalent in its scope and effect to an agreement required in connection with the NPT" (Article 8,
Annex 2, Paragraph 1). In addition, Raratonga includes a provision, absent in Tlatelolco, prohibiting the dispersal
of nuclear waste, by parties and protocol nations, in the zone.
Both Raratonga and Tlatelolco allow parties to grant transit rights or port visits in their territory to foreign
ships which may carry nuclear weapons. Raratonga explicitly bans all nuclear explosives, whereas Tlatelolco's ambiguities
on "peaceful nuclear explosives" have led, in the past, to differing interpretations among some Latin
American parties and nuclear-weapon states. Interestingly, the amendments proposed in 1990 by Argentina, Brazil
and Chile to facilitate their Tlatelolco membership did not address this issue. Instead, Argentina and Brazil dealt
with this issue outside the context of Tlatelolco.
Other distinctions between the two agreements include: a longer withdrawal notification period for Raratonga parties
(twelve months, rather than three); and that a Raratonga party must require full-scope IAEA safeguards by a state
to which it is exporting nuclear material or equipment. Both treaties include protocols for nuclear-weapon states,
and external states having territorial interests in the region, to guarantee the nuclear-weapon-free status of
the zone. Unlike Tlatelolco, Raratonga's protocols also outline measures which may be taken to verify the activities
of nuclear-weapon states in the zone.
Unfortunately, despite the indigenous nature of the Raratonga Treaty and the fact that it enjoys the unanimous
support of the South Pacific nations, three nuclear-weapon states have failed to adhere to the protocols: France,
Great Britain, and the United States. This is in contrast to Tlatelolco, which has received unanimous support from
the nuclear-weapon states, and those nations having territorial interests in the Americas. Recent changes in the
international situation, including the informal nuclear test moratorium and growing momentum for a comprehensive
test ban (CTB) agreement, may enhance prospects for external support of Raratonga.1
In the meantime, it may be observed that the South Pacific nuclear-weapon-free zone has already made valuable contributions
to international peace and security. For example, support by the regional nations for Raratonga would seem to assure
that the nuclear-weapon states will not store nuclear weapons in their territories situated in the zone. In addition,
by directing adverse attention to the nuclear testing programs in the region, Raratonga helped encourage the current
French nuclear test moratorium, thereby enhancing the likelihood of a CTB. Finally, like its Latin American predecessor,
Raratonga may help simulate additional regional non-proliferation arrangements. The Association of South East Asian
Nations (ASEAN), which is somewhat similar to the South Pacific Forum, has expressed interest in the Raratonga
model and the possibility of an analogous South East Asian nuclear-weapon-free zone. Australia is an obvious "connecting
link" between Raratonga and a possible South East Asian zone, and its support is likely to be viewed as quite
important by another key regional nation: Indonesia.
(3) Africa.*
As noted earlier, the initial stimulation for an African nuclear-weapon-free zone was French nuclear testing in
the Sahara Desert in 1960. In 1961 fourteen African nations sponsored a U.N. General Assembly resolution calling
for the beginning of negotiations to establish such a zone. Three and a half decades later it appears that African
nations will achieve their goal in 1995.
The 49th United Nations General Assembly is in the process of formally considering the draft treaty text (DOC A
149/436, September 27, 1994) and most likely will have given its approval by the time of this Seminar. The nearly-completed
draft was agreed to by the African Group of Experts at its most recent meeting in May, 1994. The draft requires
parties "not to conduct research on, develop, manufacture, stockpile or otherwise acquire, possess, or have
control over any nuclear explosive device." As with the Raratonga Treaty, there are no ambiguities regarding
so-called "peaceful" nuclear explosives: all nuclear explosives are prohibited. Three protocols for non-African
states parallel the Tlatelolco and Raratonga requirements. In a similar fashion, the African treaty will be of
unlimited duration. Yet to be fully resolved is the exact zone of application, including certain islands such as
Diego García.
The conclusion of the African nuclear-weapon-free zone treaty will be a signal international event of great importance
to all African nations and their peoples. On that occasion the Tlatelolco parties will uniquely share the joy and
pride of their African colleagues.
(4) Middle East.
While significant progress has been achieved in recent years toward resolution of enduring disputes in the Middle
East, the danger of a regional nuclear war persists. Israel has nuclear weapons, Iraq sought to develop them, and
several other Middle East nations have devoted significant resources to building a civil nuclear infrastructure
with military potential. Nearly all of the regional nations are heavily armed with conventional weapons, and some
with chemical and biological weapons. Nowhere else in the world is there a greater need for innovative approaches
to arms control and disarmament than in the Middle East. As indigenous regional arms control initiatives may contribute
to the broader objective of Middle East peace and security, the successful Latin American effort should be assessed
for its possible relevance.
Two approaches to regional nuclear arms control in the Middle East have generally received most attention: a nuclear-weapon-free
zone and confidence-building measures. With respect to a Middle East nuclear-weapon-free zone, the concept was
originally advanced by Egypt and Iran as early as 1974. Each year since 1974 the UN General Assembly has passed
a resolution in support of the proposed zone. While Israel initially opposed the UN General Assembly resolution,
since 1980 that nation has allowed it to be adopted without a vote. Despite this, Israel continues to maintain
that such a zone can only be achieved as a result of direct negotiations among the states in the region. Arab states,
in contrast, have emphasized the central role of the United Nations in helping establish a regional nuclear-weapon-free
zone.
Interest in establishment of a Middle East zone has remained high. In 1989 the IAEA completed a technical study
defining the process by which safeguards could be applied to a Middle East zone. In 1990 the definitive expert
study on establishment of a Middle East nuclear-weapon-free zone (one of whose authors, Ben Sanders, is with us
at this Seminar), was approved by the 45th UN General Assembly. In 1991, as part of his Middle East arms control
initiative, former US President George Bush proposed "the eventual creation of a regional nuclear-weapon-free
zone." As recently as April 1993 the Iranian foreign minister, in an address to the UN General Assembly, endorsed
the Middle East nuclear-weapon-free zone and called for a regional approach to nuclear arms control.
While relatively little progress has been achieved, there are now several fora for Arab-Israeli discussions on
regional nuclear arms control, in addition to the UN General Assembly. The multilateral working group on regional
security and arms control under the Madrid Conference Framework, has undertaken substantive, although as yet unproductive,
discussions on nuclear issues, including the proposed zone. In addition, building on its 1989 study, the IAEA hosted
a workshop of regional experts on the modalities of safeguards applications in a Middle East zone. The May 1993
meeting included discussion of existing zones, with particular emphasis on the Tlatelolco Treaty.
What is the relevance, if any, of the Tlatelolco model to the Middle East? First, let us consider the dissimilarities,
which are important. As noted in a recent excellent study,2 the
geographical boundaries of the Latin American zone were relatively clear from the outset, whereas those for the
proposed Middle East zone are far less apparent. For example, some states such as Iran, generally deemed essential
to a Middle East zone, are not considered a part of the region by most definitions. Other non-regional nations,
such as Pakistan, have unique cultural/religious ties to the region. Yet Pakistan's undeclared nuclear arsenal
has significant implications to the strategic balance and long-term stability of the region.
Yet another distinction encompasses the political realities of the two regions. Latin American nations share certain
historical, cultural and legal traditions, while lacking the deep, seemingly irreconcilable, divisions which prevail
in the Middle East. These divisions have raised questions regarding the legitimacy and very existence of some regional
states, resulting in wars and violence on a scale unknown in Latin America.
Finally, the lack of nuclear symmetry among the states of the Middle East is an important obstacle to creation
of a nuclear-weapon-free zone. In Latin America, while there are clear differences among the regional states in
the level of nuclear development, the two nations with the most advanced nuclear programs, Argentina and Brazil,
have relative nuclear parity. Consequently, the Latin American effort was able to focus on preventing the
development or introduction of nuclear weapons into the region, somewhat divorced from other issues. In the Middle
East the differences in the level of nuclear development, including the existence of a nuclear-weapon state, have
greatly complicated nuclear arms control activities. That is, all such efforts to restrain nuclear arms are inextricably
linked to other issues, including the acquisition of chemical, biological, and missile delivery systems.
Despite formidable obstacles to a Middle East nuclear-weapon-free zone, and the very different circumstances between
the two regions, the Tlatelolco experience does have relevance. For example, the creation of a negotiating commission,
(COPREDAL) of all nations from the Latin American region, with expert assistance from the UN and the IAEA, is a
process worth careful consideration by Middle East nations. This negotiating process extended over three years,
thereby allowing full and fair discussion of all relevant issues. Moreover, the process included a procedure for
continuous consultations with the nuclear-weapon states and other nations having interests in the region. By this
method, the concerns of non-regional states were understood and given due consideration, without those nations
becoming direct parties to the negotiations. The Tlatelolco experience suggests that the final product is a durable
agreement of long-standing relevance to the interests of the parties.
Another Tlatelolco Treaty feature which could contribute to a Middle East zone is the phased entry-into-force procedure.
While Tlatelolco's Article 28 was an act of creative diplomatic expediency fashioned by García Robles, the
results were particularly fortunate for the long-term efficacy of the Latin American nuclear-weapon-free zone.
That is, the procedure allowed certain Latin American nations (Argentina, Brazil, Chile) to retain an organic relationship
to the treaty, while delaying its entry-into-force for their territory until they judged that circumstances would
permit it. The concurrent obligation assumed by these nations was that they would take no action contrary to the
objectives of the treaty during that period in which the agreement was not yet in force for them.
The relevance of this to the Middle East is that it suggests a process by which nations having various levels of
nuclear capability can be incorporated into, and actively engaged in , a long-term process to complete a nuclear-weapon-free
zone. As was the case in Latin America, the zone could be established among some Middle East states, while allowing
others to delay entry-into-force. The important point is that those nations delaying entry-into-force be firmly
linked to the treaty, and committed to taking no additional action contrary to its objectives. This procedure,
for example, might allow a country such as Israel to relate to a Middle East zone, while engaging in discussions
to curtail and perhaps eliminate its nuclear arsenal. In this regard the interesting Tlatelolco innovation of "Signatory
States" vs "Contracting Parties" deserves particular study.3
One additional feature of the Tlatelolco Treaty of possible relevance to the Middle East is challenge or special
inspections. The original treaty language included a procedure (Article 16) by which the IAEA or OPANAL's Council
(ie, five members elected by the General Conference of all Contracting Parties) could conduct special inspections.
In the case of the IAEA, such inspections could be undertaken in the context of Article 13, by which Tlatelolco
parties were to negotiate bilateral or multilateral safeguard agreements. The special inspections of OPANAL's Council
could be carried out at the request of any Contracting Party. This inspection by demand, by which all Tlatelolco
parties agreed to provide "full and free access to all places and all information as necessary", was
considered a unique and important Tlatelolco contribution to nuclear arms control.
In 1992, in order to facilitate the adherence of Argentina, Brazil, and Chile, the Contracting Parties agreed to
amend Article 16 by vesting operational responsibility for special inspections solely in the IAEA. OPANAL
continues to have an important role, however, as such inspections are to be triggered by a request to the IAEA
by a Tlatelolco party with the concurrence of the Council.4 The
relevance of this formula to the Middle East is its interesting balance between regional and multilateral prerogatives.
The regional nations and machinery, in effect, retain the responsibility to initiate special inspections which
are then conducted by a multinational authority. While such an inspection could legally be initiated from outside
the region, the IAEA will, in all likelihood, defer to the regional parties and the regional authority to trigger
such an inspection. Such a formula could be attractive to parties of a future Middle East zone.
A second approach to progress on Middle East nuclear arms control is confidence-building measures. Many observers
believe that confidence-building measures, designed to address the nuclear issue, could make a genuine contribution
to efforts to reach a comprehensive Middle East peace settlement at the present time. By this reasoning,
Israel is currently well-positioned to initiate a nuclear confidence-building process. Israel possesses a signifi-
cant nuclear arsenal while, as yet, no Arab nation has developed nuclear weapons. Moreover, as a result of recent
accords with the Palestinians and Jordan, Israel's security position is much improved. Accordingly, it has been
suggested that Israel might unilaterally adopt a temporary moratorium on plutonium reprocessing by closing its
Dimona production facilities. This temporary cap on the Israeli nuclear program could precipitate reciprocal Arab
actions, such as support for the indefinite extension of the NPT or adherence to the chemical weapons treaty.
Such a process could ultimately expand into a regional agreement to prohibit production of plutonium or highly
enriched uranium under IAEA safeguards. In order to overcome Israel's distrust of the IAEA, however, a multilateral
arrangement of this nature would need to be augmented by bilateral agreements. To this end, the bilateral accounting
and control system (SCCC) established by Argentina and Brazil deserves careful study. The SCCC is administered
by the Brazilian-Argentine Agency for Accounting and Control of Nuclear Materials (ABACC), with a Secretary, professional
staff, and approximately sixty inspectors (30 from each nation which inspect the opposite nation). More relevant,
ABACC is independent of the IAEA, but coordinates its accounting and inspection activities with that agency. The
bilateral machinery has the confidence and ownership of those nations directly affected by its activities, while
the international community is assured by the relationship between the IAEA and ABACC (confirmed by a Quadripartite
Agreement among Argentina, Brazil, ABACC and the IAEA). Despite the vast differences between the South American
and Middle Eastern situations, there is a pattern in this arrangement which may be applicable to the Arab-Israeli
nuclear situation. In addition, there are certain lessons which may be drawn from the long nuclear confidence-building
process undertaken by Argentina and Brazil which could have relevance to the Middle East. These include: technical
exchanges between nuclear energy commissions, joint nuclear research and safety projects, reciprocal (and highly
symbolic) head-of-state visits to nuclear facilities, advance notification of significant civil nuclear activities,
and creation of a standing joint nuclear policy committee composed of representatives from the foreign ministry,
nuclear energy commissions and the military.5
In conclusion, the Latin American experience suggests an implicit interrelationship between nuclear-weapon-free
zones and nuclear confidence-building efforts. That is the Tlatelolco Treaty established a regional non-proliferation
framework and defined an overall goal of complete prohibition of all nuclear weapons. The completion of the nuclear-weapon-free
zone, however, was accomplished only as a final step or culmination of a long nuclear confidence-building process
between the region's two historic rivals, Argentina and Brazil. Finally, the Latin American experience suggests
one other enduring lesson for the Middle East and elsewhere: that, with dedicated leadership, progress on sensitive
nuclear issues can not only contribute to solutions, but may even accelerate the broader efforts toward peace.
(5) OPANAL and the Future.
As the Tlatelolco Treaty approaches universal membership, OPANAL is entering a new and challenging period in its
development. During nearly three decades of existence OPANAL has been fortunate to have highly capable leadership,
especially former Secretary General Hector Gros Espiell of Uruguay. Now, under the leadership of Ambassador Enrique
Román-Morey, OPANAL is poised to evolve into important new responsibilities, if provided sufficient resources
and political support by Latin American and other nations.
(A) Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy. Article 7 of the Tlatelolco Treaty defines the principal purpose of
OPANAL as: to "...ensure compliance with the obligations of the treaty...." However, the treaty's Preamble
implies another potential OPANAL role of helping to assure the peaceful benefits of nuclear energy to all Latin
American nations:
...that the foregoing reasons, together with the tradtional peace-loving outlook of Latin America, give rise to an inescapable necessity that nuclear energy should be used in that region exclusively for peaceful purposes, and that the Latin American countries should use their right to the greatest and most equitable possible access to this new source of energy in order to expedite the economic and social development of their peoples....
Most regional cooperative efforts in the nuclear energy field are currently administered by the IAEA through
ARCAL (Regional Co-operative Arrangements for the Promotion of Nuclear Science and Technology in Latin America).
Created over a decade ago, ARCAL is financed by its Latin American member nations, and by voluntary contributions
from non-Latin American nations, including Germany, the United States, the European Economic Community, Canada,
France and Italy. ARCAL projects include support of basic nuclear research and education, nuclear medicine and
human health, radiation safety, and agricultural and animal sciences. In addition, the IAEA, through its Division
of Nuclear Power, provides useful analytical support to Latin American nations investing in nuclear power (nuclear
energy currently supplies approximately 2.2% of Latin America's power from plants operating in Argentina, Brazil,
and Mexico).
Tlatelolco parties have long recognized the desirability that OPANAL might assume an important role in helping
plan and systematize Latin American efforts for the full and effective peaceful uses of nuclear energy. As an indiginous
regional agency, OPANAL has inherent advantages over a European-based multilateral agency. It is also appreciated,
however, that the IAEA is presently the only organization having the technical expertise and experience to undertake
such regional efforts. In order to enhance the overall effectiveness of efforts to promote peaceful uses of nuclear
energy in Latin America, it would seem desirable that systematic cooperation between OPANAL and the IAEA be encouraged.
A first step in this direction could be a scheduled program of exchanges between OPANAL and IAEA personnel. Tlatelolco
Protocol states can also play a particularly important role by sharing information and resources, thereby permitting
OPANAL to enhance its activities in this field.
(B). Environmental and Security Protection. The benefits of nuclear energy are accompanied by a dark side:
environmental degradation and the security dangers of wide-spread availability of plutonium and highly-enriched
uranium. Chernobyl and other examples of hemorrhaging, unsafe power reactors in East Europe and elsewhere, have
provided a warning of things to come in the absence of careful planning. The problem of nuclear waste storage and
disposal (addressed in one manner by the Raratonga Treaty) needs to be considered carefully--and perhaps in a cooperative
manner--in Latin America. Finally, the issue of civil use of plutonium and highly-enriched uranium raises important
issues of possible theft and nuclear terrorism. Thus far, Latin American nations have chosen not to produce enriched
uranium above the 20% level or to reprocess plutonium for recycle into existing reactors or for export. Unfortunately,
other nations, notably Japan, France and Great Britain, are continuing programs encouraging plutonium use in civil
commerce.
OPANAL could assume a very important educational role in simulating regional discussion and by distributing information
on these topics. Regional seminars and research projects in cooperation with ABACC, the IAEA , the U.N. and non-governmental
organizations would seem a promising approach.
(C). Regional Non-Proliferation Education. OPANAL's experience in establishing and administering a nuclear-weapon-free
zone agreement is rich with lessons for other regional situations. In the future OPANAL could become a global resource
for information and education on regional approaches to non-proliferation. To this end, enhanced cooperation between
OPANAL and ABACC is essential.6 A periodic newsletter, commissioned
studies, and seminars for experts and officials from other regions represent a few of the initiatives which could
be implemented, assuming adequate support.
Finally, OPANAL could assume an important leadership role in helping establish a complete South Atlantic nuclear-weapon-free
zone. This concept of a Southern Hemisphere web, linking the Latin American and forthcoming African nuclear-weapon-free
zones, was overwhelmingly approved by the 49th U.N. General Assembly. It represents a next and logical evolutionary
step in a process anticipated by the father of the Tlatelolco Treaty, Alfonso García Robles when he called
for
...a gradual broadening of the zones of the world from which nuclear weapons are prohibited to a point where the territories of powers which possess these terrible weapons of mass destruction will be something like contaminated islets subject to quarantine.
NOTES
* As the Chief Expert Advisor to the Experts Group, Dr. Ogunsola Ogunbanwo, will be addressing
the Seminar on the topic of the African nuclear-weapon-free treaty, this section will be quite brief.
1. The recent US declaration that it will not send nuclear-armed naval vessels to New Zealand may
be indicative of a shifting US perspective regarding the South Pacific nuclear-weapon-free zone.
2. Avner Cohen, "Rethinking the Nuclear Equation in a New Middle East", Center for International
Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, August, 1994 (unpublished manuscript).
3. During the Tlatelolco negotiations, Latin America's two most advanced nuclear-capable nations,
Argentina and Brazil, sought to prevent reservations in protocol guarantees by non-regional nations which might
alter the basic tenets of the treaty in a manner prejudicial to their interests. In addition, Brazil, with the
tacit support of Chile, sought to promote a special treaty status of "Signatory States." Signatory States
were defined as those which had ratified the treaty without waiving the provisions of Article 28, Paragraph 1.
While such states had a unique relationship to the treaty, the agreement was not yet in force for them. Brazil
attempted to go one step further by advocating that Signatory States have a co-equal role with Contracting Parties
(those states for which the treaty is in force) in the amendment process (see COPREDAL document GT 1/Rev, February
6, 1967, p. 14). This was resisted by the majority of the Tlatelolco negotiating parties, led by Mexico and Ecuador,
resulting in a compromise (Tlatelolco's Article 6) which allows meetings of Signatory States to be convened to
consider questions which could affect the treaty, including amendments. Thus, a Signatory State (such as Brazil
and Chile, until recently) had a formal mechanism to advise and influence the treaty, while the final responsibility
rested with the Contracting Parties. A similar two-tiered relationship could provide a creative way of linking
all Middle East nations to an ongoing process to complete a regional nuclear-weapon-free zone.
4. The 1992 Tlatelolco amendments are discussed in John R. Redick, "Creacíon de Confianza
Nuclear en la America Latina," Revista Occidental, Estudios Latino Americanos, Ano 10, Number 3, 1993.
5. The Middle East nuclear situation is discussed by John R. Redick in "Regional Nuclear Restraint
in the Middle East", Middle East Insight, January-February, 1995.
6. While ABACC is beyond the scope of this paper, the importance of this Brazilian-Argentine bilateral
mechanism cannot be over-emphasized. Some of the implications of this agreement are assessed in John R. Redick,
Julio C. Carasales, and Paulo S. Wrobel, "Nuclear Rapprochement: Argentina, Brazil, and the Non-Proliferation
Regime", The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 18, No. 1, Winter 1995.
* Biographic Note
John R. Redick is Associate Professor and Program Specialist Division of Continuing Education, the University of
Virginia. He received his PhD in Foreign Affairs from the University of Virginia.
Mr. Redick's research and writing has focused on nuclear proliferation with a particular emphasis on the latin
american region. He currently directs the Argentina-Brazil Nuclear Non-Proliferation Project in cooperation with
an argentine and a brazilian expert, with a support of the Rockefeller Foundation.
Mr. Redick is author of a number of articles and monographs on nuclear proliferation.